You mean with the ease those boats moved out of Hinchinbrook resort? http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/link-between-extreme-weather-and-co2-unproven/comments-fn558imw-1225999006574. Cyclone Yasi. Is he trying to tell the experts how to suck eggs? Yasi was indeed an enormous system in area covered by cloud, the largest we’ve seen in the satellite era. The storm which started in the Coral Sea , destroyed hundreds of homes in the northern Queensland towns of Tully , … Category 5 BOM,Cat 4 Saffir-Simpson. Yasi followed a path predicted four to five days out. The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) warned that Cyclone Yasi posed and "extremely serious threat to life and property within the warning area, especially between Cairns and Townsville. It looks like Lucinda’s ability to measure rain was compromised as well…or it was blowing horizontally and the Venturi effect sucked the precip out. No lives were lost and no serious injuries were reported. A BoM shelter is always a good idea. Gusts topped 100 between 11pm and 3am and have decr slightly to 89 @ 3.30am. Over the weekend, . The other side of that argument is that with the huge coastal population increase, boat dwellers etc, if the force had been comparable to a century ago you would expect more deaths and wreckage sustained. The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre had Yasi at 930hPa about 80km out from landfall,with sustained winds at 135 knots/250km/h,and gusts to 165 knots/305km/h. Yasi This was the most intense cyclone since at least 1918,and certainly the most massive as well given the breadth of the damage zone. Another La Niña event caused major damage to Queensland when Tropical Cyclone Yasi crossed the north Queensland coast in February 2011, destroying homes, crops and businesses. The Australian BoM warning for northern Queensland is being couched in stronger language as Cyclone Yasi has intensified to category 5. Cardwell was just outside the eye,and would have experienced much higher wind speeds than Lucinda.  At least 75% of the banana crop was destroyed, and damage to the sugar cane farms is expected to cost about AU$500 million. Cyclone Yasi crossed the Queensland coast at Mission Beach and Tully, south of Cairns. “Clump Point just made it inside the NW side of the eyewall and is at the north end of the Mission Beach area.”. a forum for the discussion of issues concerning the natural environment. 1970 – CYCLONE ADA (Category 4) Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi | Bureau of Meteorology Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi began developing as a tropical low northwest of Fiji on 29 January and started tracking on a general westward track. What do you know about energy distribution in cyclones that has escaped the research community over the last fifty years?? Also, if you’d been in Lucinda at 1 am you’d probably have been looking at a starry sky. They may be well below true speeds. 1971 – CYCLONE ALTHEA (Category 4) With the Bathurst Bay fleet, their very lives depended on their movements and they also were most likely not insured so those very resourceful sailors who even then had the EWS of the aneroid barometer and knew what was coming, were still unable to avoid that catastrophe. That expert assessment is not credible? Another take http://kenskingdom.wordpress.com/2011/02/07/how-strong-was-yasi/ I have just seen the barometric trace from the Clump Point tide gauge,operated by DERM, Over the weekend, . Got abused by a poster called v. Their post below. Willis Is recorded 100 knots and 955 hpa about 10 miles from the eye and the following drop and rise of BP transmission was the lowest recording. Back before the days of ABC bedwetting even they agreed with you: http://www.abc.net.au/catalyst/stories/s382613.htm. The cyclone damaged 10,000 homes in the region and hit farmers hard. Tiresome crap Spangled – the event was well monitored nationally and internationally by meteorological organisations. It is the worst cyclone to hit Australia since 1918, with 290 km/h winds. Following the disaster, just 12 houses remained. Animate. Go to radar.strikeone.net.au ,select Townsville Radar at 256km,pick your time parameters and learn something. Thirty people died in the tragedy, and the rest of the world didn’t know anything about it until five days later. The Lucinda gauge was NOT recording eye wall speeds. I repeat that radar imagery confirms that Cardwell was just beyond-no more than a km or two beyond- the southern wall of the eye. Spangled – pure bunk from the usual rabid geriatric BoM haters – tell those at Cardwell, Mission Beach and Tully. Tracy, a Category 4, struck Darwin in the Northern Territory on Christmas Eve 1974. Poly – Cardwell lost 200 homes – Tully lost 20. Clearly Cardwell was the centre of the storm. Is there any sense in this, or is it just wishful thinking? 2011 – CYCLONE YASI (Category 5) Cyclone Yasi crossed the Queensland coast at Mission Beach and Tully, south of Cairns. Mahina in 1899, and the two Cyclones in 1918 may have been comparable, although not on as huge a scale as Yasi, but they would have hit without any warning whatsoever, because there was nothing in the way of a warning system, and they had little idea what to do anyway. in a swathe several hundred kilometres wide? The system quickly intensified to a cyclone category to the north of Vanuatu and was named Yasi at 10:00pm on 30 January by Fiji Meteorological Service. , Cyclone Yasi did not cause the damage that government expected as it missed major cities. SD; as a veteran chart watcher and given the extent of current super cell like activity I say this cyclone Yasi is the largest in our living memory. John,the eye was 100 down to 35km wide by landfall,The eye is the CENTRE of the cyclone, and is windless. It is the worst cyclone to hit Australia since 1918, with 290 km/h winds. So all the armchair pundits and know all Dad’s army climate sceptics would be saying “what a bloody waste money”. Cyclone Yasi Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi began developing as a tropical low northwest of Fiji on 29th January and started tracking on a general westward track. The storm which started in the Coral Sea, destroyed hundreds of homes in the northern Queensland towns of Tully, Mission Beach, Innisfail and Cardwell. Approximately 13% of the reef were exposed to Cyclone Yasi, from Cairns to Townsville (ABC, 2011).Marine specialists from the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority (GBRMPA) initial damage assessments found that Cyclone Yasi had left varying levels of destruction to 300km of 2400km-long reef (ABC, 2011). After watching News 24 and seeing numerous eye witness accounts first hand, I say val has very little to go on with Ken’s obviously biased post. You can almost hear the sigh of relief when they report that at least someone had the good grace to die. webpage: http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/history/yasi.shtml (see also Figure 1). “The nearest wind recorder didn’t go past 185Km/hr,therefore the cyclone was not as intense as claimed” is the confident assertion…. Our estimate of the frequency of such ‘super-cyclones’ is an order of magnitude higher than that previously estimated (which was once every several millennia12, 13, 14), and is sufficiently high to suggest that the character of rainforests and coral reef communities were probably shaped by these events. you have to log in to see the paper in total. 1995 – CYCLONE BOBBY (Category 4) Cyclone Ingrid was unusual in that it impacted three states and territories in March 2005. It intensified into a Category 5 as it impacted on the Northern Territory coastline before weakening and building back up to category four as it crossed WA’s Kimberley coast. As for the damage, we are not finished assessing it yet. Of course the cyclonic winds rapidly abated over land,but the cyclone decayed only slowly compared with many. ..Yes Keith – I am asking if Yasi was overhyped to some extent yesterday by all our official sources, BoM, Govt and media. The sea-surge was not great as compared with cat 5 cyclones and it would be doing people a favour letting them know that cyclones come worse than this. Hi Val, Many houses were damaged or destroyed, including 200 Housing Commission homes. Thirty-seven people died in Innisfail, while an additional 40-60 died in surrounding areas. Warwick Hughes has a new post up Cyclone Yasi has been exaggerated by Govts and beaten up by media A decision to run would be pointless: in which direction and how much time have we got? The Southern Cassowary, a large endangered bird, will need help to survive in the forest. At landfall the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) reported Yasi as a category 5 storm on the Australian Cyclone Scale, i.e. The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) in Brisbane said that at 5am AEDT Yasi was about 650 kilometres east-northeast of Cairns and 650 kilometres northeast of Townsville moving west southwest at 30km/h. I’m sure when a Aussie cyclone comes along that is worse than this,we’ll see it compared with Yasi,SD. There was a story this morning on Macca where somebody reckoned they were called gum boots because they wore them to gather the gum from timber to make linoleum. I just heard a girl from BoM state that Lucinda point is 70km from Mission beach and peaked at 185 therefore we can assume that the eye winds were 250km plus!! To get in touch with Jennifer call 0418873222 or international call +61418873222. I don’t know. By Wednesday 2 nd the cyclone had intensified to a phenomenal central pressure of 922 hPa: a category five system located 300 nautical miles east of Cairns. Rainfall exceeded 60 mm (2.36 inches) in one hour and pressure had fallen to near 938 millibars. It shows the eye coming ashore at Bingil Bay, and Mission beach is on Bingil Bay. I understand it really has not much in the way of correlation to the Posts here, but it indicates in some way the relative size of the eye. 2006 – CYCLONE LARRY (Category 4) “lmwd, There is no such thing as a “super-cyclone” and anyone who uses the term can be safely ignored by sensible people who are genuinely interested in the earth’s climate”. More than 400 people perished after Cyclone Mahina hit Bathurst Bay on 4 March 1899. Please provide your evidence for your beliefs. Anyway – you’ll get Abbott in soon – and you won’t be getting anything built after he reduces all expenditure to zero. A Cyclone Warning is issued by BoM when gales or stronger winds are expected to hit within 24 hours. Justin was reportedly responsible for an estimated loss of $150 million to the agricultural industry alone. It then progressed and climbed the cyclone category ladder reaching category 4 just days later. surface 3 second wind gusts > 279 km/h. There were no reports of serious injury or death in Australia. Seems it weakened a bit before it came ashore, and immediate damage was not as bad as feared. Thanks Tony. I avoid reading some of the other publications for this reason. So how triply ironic is this – while the usual suspects here reckon the guvmint and AGW alarmists have an agenda of “beefing up the cyclone story” for political purposes. 930hPa guarantees windspeeds of 250km/h plus. As a result of the system's impacts, the name Yasi was subsequently retired from the list of South Pacific tropical cyclone names and replaced with Yvone. This is the highest level on the Seffir-Simpson Scale and Category 5 is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 155 mph (69 m/s; 135 kn; 249 km/h). For instance, when you live on a boat, you don’t hang around harbours, you get some sea room. Yes I noticed the BoM guy was pretty factual, which was a relief. , From Simple English Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, "BBC News - Queensland survives Cyclone Yasi with no known deaths", "Insurers count the cost of Cyclone Yasi - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)", "North Queensland battens down for Cyclone Yasi's fury | Herald Sun", "Cyclone Yasi leaves Tully a scene of devastation | Courier Mail", "Eleven cases of looting reported in the aftermath of Cyclone Yasi | Herald Sun", "Cyclone blackout could last weeks - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)", "Cyclone threat to cassowary | Northern Rivers News | Local News in Northern Rivers | Northern Star", https://simple.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cyclone_Yasi&oldid=6588852, Creative Commons Attribution/Share-Alike License. So frustrating when you don’t get to reply! Estimates of central pressure and highest average wind speed were made by various international agencies using satellite data and well-proven models.The ensemble average was 912 hPa and 131knots,six hours out from landfall,while BOM kept its advised intensity at Cat 5 and 930 hPa right up until landfall. This new Cyclone Yasi groups page boasts a roster rounded out by severe storm chasers from Northern Queensland, a registered BOM spotter and administrative … Or was it a “normal” event with “normal” consequences? I don’t think that any reasonable person can conclude that Yasi was worse, or even as bad as Mahina. Select a day or time to see its radar image. The Courier Mail is now running saying they haven’t been alarmist enough !!!! The closest the eye wall got to Lucinda was 55-60km. The cyclone quickly intensified and moved to the north of Vanuatu and was named Yasi at 10pm on the 30th by the Fiji Meteorological Service. Damage was estimated at $6.2 million. Luke what kind of evidence is this: Cyclone Yasi (2011) Category five Cyclone Yasi crossed the far north Queensland coast near Mission Beach early on February 3, 2011, bringing peak wind gusts estimated at 285 kilometres per hour. Yasi was at 930hPa at landfall,the lowest recorded of the modern era. Tie yourself to a tree or somethin. Contrary to Ken’s statement,Larry was not as strong as Yasi,and it was moving at about the same speed in its last half day until landfall.  Yasi was a Category Five storm, the highest level, with winds of about 300 km/h. This is the highest level on the Seffir-Simpson Scale and Category 5 is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 155 mph (69 m/s; 135 kn; 249 km/h). We have the best warning systems so far in our history,SD,and there is no earthly reason why people should die in Cat 5 cyclones that have been assessed and tracked for days. But the system is not expected to be as bad as that which brought Cyclone Yasi and the devastating south-east floods in 2011. His conclusion Witness those inland towns virtually getting no wind and little rain when they were told to batten down for the big inland cyclone. 2007 – CYCLONE GEORGE (Category 5) and check out his comment at 4.16 am Wind damage was confined to trees and sheds; however, the cyclone had been very severe before it hit land, generating huge seas that claimed the lives of eight seaman in three separate incidents off the southern and central Queensland coasts. from: www.bom.gov.au. Stand behind that guy holding the microphone. Previous cyclones of a comparable measured intensity include the 1899 cyclone Mahina in Princess Charlotte Bay, and the two cyclones of 1918 at Mackay (January) and Innisfail (March). Our ability to accurately make these assessments has been limited by the short (less than 100 years) instrumented record of cyclone intensity. SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT …  One person died when they were poisoned by fumes from a portable generator. The good news seems to be that no one got hurt this time. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/ www.mapsofworld.com/lat_long/fiji-lat-long.html 252589‑cyclone‑yasi‑map.jpg 820561‑cyclone‑yasi‑map‑2pm‑february‑2. Earlier in Justin’s lifecycle, 30 people were killed in Papua New Guinea and five people died when their yacht was destroyed. 1918 – CYCLONE MACKAY (Category 4) http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/yasi_now_just_a_category_three_no_dead_reported_yet/. They would have had a “blue hole” overhead for a while and that would have been the worst of it. Cyclone Tracy’s eye,with central pressure of a ‘mere’ 950hPa, passed over Darwin Airport and wind gusts were recorded to 217km/hr before the anemometer broke.Its radius of gale force [34-40knot] winds was only 50km. I think Luke has raised the troublesome side of the story for the government-and the opposition. good comment there lmwd! There were also possibly 100 aboriginals killed. Severe Tropical Cyclone George was both very intense and physically large. Storm surge and large waves caused coastal inundation and erosion from Perth to Busselton, while fires fanned by the very strong winds burned an estimated 114,000 hectares of forest and farming land. As the drum is asking, is it down to AGW? The eye with wind speeds over 280 km/hr (Category 5) passed over Mission beach which is 110 km south of Cairns, 165 km NNW of Townsville and 130 km north of the wyloyard. But La Nina has in the past brought devastating storms, including in 2010-12 when Cyclone Yasi thrashed far north Queensland and caused millions of dollars in damage. Emily crossed the Queensland coast in late March 1972, just to the southeast of Gladstone, Qld. 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